GUIDE · ANTI-HYPE · JUNE 2026
When NOT to run local AI.
We built the planner to help people run local AI well. That doesn’t mean local is always the answer. Here are the workflows where cloud still wins — and where the local-AI evangelism on Reddit is, frankly, wrong.
Calibration data in /methodology/calibration tells you what the hardware can measurably do. This piece tells you when to stop fighting physics and just pay the $20/month.
1 · Frontier reasoning
If your work depends on the current frontier — Claude Opus 4.7, GPT-5.5 (April 23 2026), Gemini 3 Pro Thinking — local won’t catch up. Even a 5090 running Qwen 3.5 35B-A3B is roughly GPT-4- tier on mixed reasoning tasks: great for a lot of work, not great for the problems where you actually need the frontier. People who try to solve hard PhD-level problems locally eventually buy the Claude Max plan and stop pretending.
Cloud wins: complex multi-step reasoning, novel proofs, legal or medical synthesis where hallucination costs money.
2 · Anything multi-modal video
Local video understanding is still a research project. The cloud-native offerings — Gemini 3 Pro’s video input, Claude’s screenshare, OpenAI’s computer-use — work today at quality that no 24-GB consumer card touches. If your workflow includes “watch this 40-minute meeting recording and summarize”, cloud is the answer.
Cloud wins: video transcription + understanding, screen understanding, computer-use agents, long-form audio analysis at quality.
3 · Context beyond ~200K tokens
Qwen 3.5 27B natively handles 262K context and can be pushed to ~1M with YaRN. On paper that matches Claude and beats GPT-5. In practice, prefill latency on a Mac M5 Max at 147K context drops to ~666 PP tok/s and takes over a minute for first token. That’s fine for batch processing; it’s unusable for interactive work.
Cloud wins: interactive coding against a 300K-token codebase, long-document review where you want chat-like turnaround, any workflow where “first token” needs to be sub-5-seconds on a long prompt.
4 · Current-events / recall-heavy tasks
Local model weights are a frozen snapshot of the training cutoff. Qwen 3.6-27B (April 22 2026) has no knowledge of anything that happened after its training window, no matter how good its reasoning is. Cloud models have web-browse, RAG against fresh indices, and grounded search. If you need current information, local is not competitive on this axis.
Cloud wins: news, live pricing, research on emerging topics, fact-checking against the current internet.
5 · One-off heavy tasks
If you use AI lightly — a few hundred thousand tokens per month — the ROI on local hardware is decades, not months. The cost calculator on the homepage puts numbers on this: a $3,000 rig paying back a $20/month Plus plan takes ~12 years. Local only pays for itself if you use it heavily, have a privacy hard-requirement, or want the learning experience.
Cloud wins: light daily use, sporadic heavy tasks, anyone who doesn’t want to babysit a runner.
6 · When you’re fighting the ecosystem
Two honest cases where the community evangelism leads people astray: AMD ROCm in 2026 still takes 5–10 hours of driver setup, and Intel Arc with IPEX-LLM archived as of January 28, 2026 means that card’s software stack is in limbo. If you picked AMD or Intel because an enthusiast on Reddit said they were “fine” — they are, eventually. You will spend a weekend getting there. On NVIDIA or a Mac you were up in 15 minutes.
Cloud wins: when the friction of running local competes with the actual work you need to do.
So when DO you run local
Everything else. Privacy-bound workflows. High-volume coding or chat at zero marginal cost. Experimentation + tinkering. Offline reliability when travelling. Integration with tools that never leave your machine. Workflows where cost-per-token × tokens-per-day crosses the break-even line.
The answer is almost never “local only” or “cloud only.” It’s a hybrid — cloud for the hard 10% of tasks, local for the 90% where a well-chosen 35B MoE answers just as well for free. Use the planner to figure out which local setup covers your 90%.
Next step
Use the planner to size your local 90%→